The 89th Annual Academy Awards are this Sunday so it’s time to play the guessing game of who and what will go home with an Oscar.
Best Picture
Arrival
Fences
Hacksaw Ridge
Hell or High Water
Hidden Figures
La La Land
Lion
Manchester by the Sea
Moonlight
This is a tough category but I believe it’s between La La Land and Moonlight. I give Moonlight the edge. Hidden Figures was my personal favorite movie of 2016.
Best Director
Damien Chazelle, La La Land
Barry Jenkins, Moonlight
Kenneth Lonergan, Manchester by the Sea
Denis Villeneuve, Arrival
Mel Gibson, Hacksaw Ridge
In recent years, the Academy has proved more amenable to a split where one film wins Best Picture and another wins Best Director, so conceivably, Barry Jenkins has a shot to prevail here even if La La Land is a lock for Best Picture. I predict this will go to Damien Chazelle for La La Land.
Best Actor
Casey Affleck, Manchester by the Sea
Denzel Washington, Fences
Ryan Gosling, La La Land
Andrew Garfield, Hacksaw Ridge
Viggo Mortensen, Captain Fantastic
Casey Affleck won nearly every critics’ laurel this season, but he lost the Screen Actors Guild trophy to Denzel Washington, and that’s a significant deal. Since 2003, every SAG winner in this category has gone on to take the Oscar. This will be a nail-biter down to to the last second since Washington’s momentum has come so late in the game, but I’d give him the slim edge over Affleck.
Best Actress
Emma Stone, La La Land
Natalie Portman, Jackie
Meryl Streep, Florence Foster Jenkins
Isabelle Huppert, Elle
Ruth Negga, Loving
It’s locked up for Emma Stone.
Best Supporting Actor
Mahershala Ali, Moonlight
Jeff Bridges, Hell or High Water
Dev Patel, Lion
Lucas Hedges, Manchester by the Sea
Michael Shannon, Nocturnal Animals
I think this will go to Mahershala Ali, though he’s vulnerable to an upset. However he gave a very moving speech at the SAG awards. I ‘m rooting for him.
Best Supporting Actress
Viola Davis, Fences
Michelle Williams, Manchester by the Sea
Naomie Harris, Moonlight
Nicole Kidman, Lion
Octavia Spencer, Hidden Figures
It’s Viola Davis, this is a no brainer.
Best Adapted Screenplay
Moonlight
Arrival
Fences
Lion
Hidden Figures
I think Barry Jenkins will win for Moonlight.
Best Original Screenplay
Manchester by the Sea
La La Land
Hell or High Water
The Lobster
20th Century Women
The Oscars are very enamored with La La Land
Best Documentary Feature
O.J.: Made in America
13th
Fire at Sea
I Am Not Your Negro
Life Animated
Sound off in the comments with your predictions of which films and artists will win big this year.